dividend increase Apple Strategy Updated Nov 4, 2016

by Mike Scanlin

Apple closed at 108.84 on Friday, after having closed the previous week at 113.69. All of our AAPL strategies had out-of-the-money options at expiration so we let them expire and sold new options for the Nov 11 expiration.

To review, we are tracking 4 covered call strategies on Apple for 2016 (we are also tracking a buy-and-hold strategy for comparison):

Strategy Name Source of Income YTD Return vs. B&H
12%/year goalITM weekly covered calls
+ dividends		 5.3%-3.2%
24%/year goalITM/ATM weekly covered calls
+ dividends		 5.4%-3.1%
ATMATM weekly covered calls
+ dividends		 -1.9%-10.4%
2% OTM2% OTM weekly covered calls
+ dividends		 -1.5%-9.9%
buy and holddividends 8.4%

In all cases our initial purchase of AAPL was done at $102.57 on Jan 4, 2016. See the goals for the year and initial option sales here. (definitions for ITM, ATM, and OTM)

12%/year goal - Apple Strategy #1

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 74.54 70.74 3.13
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 35.62 49.81 3.87
Q3 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 46.31 31.45 5.29
9/30/16 sell 112-strike Oct 7 call 1.64 0.61
10/7/16 buy 112-strike Oct 7 call 2.07 -0.01
10/7/16 sell 113-strike Oct 14 call 1.63 0.57
10/14/16 buy 113-strike Oct 14 call 4.61 -0.01
10/14/16 sell 116-strike Oct 21 call 2.16 0.56
10/21/16 buy 116-strike Oct 21 call 0.50 -0.01
10/21/16 sell 110-strike Oct 28 call 7.00 0.51
10/28/16 buy 110-strike Oct 28 call 3.74 -0.01
10/28/16 sell 113-strike Nov 4 call 1.36 0.63

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 109.00. We let the 113-strike expire OTM and sold next week's 106-strike options to generate 1.05 of premium. We also got a 57 cent dividend on Nov 3.

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
11/3/16 dividend 0.57
11/4/16 113-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/4/16 sell 106-strike Nov 11 call 4.05 1.05

Here's the math we used to determine the 106-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 12%/year:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
Dec 31 goal for 12% return 114.88 102.57 * 1.12
actual income received -1.03 net call premium + paid divs
dividends yet to be paid 2016 0.00
assumed income received -1.03 net call premium + unpaid divs
current stock price 109.00 at the time we rolled
stock price + assumed income 107.97 109.00 - 1.03
income needed by Dec 31 6.91 114.88 - 107.97
weeks remaining 8 in 2016
income needed per week 0.86 6.91 / 8
2016 YTD return 5.3% (107.97 - 102.57) / 102.57

With that, we knew that to get 12% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 86 cents per week for the 8 remaining weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw the deepest in-the-money option we could sell that provided at least 86 cents of time premium was the 106-strike.

24%/year goal - Apple Strategy #2

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 47.36 46.96 6.39
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 21.21 31.03 8.61
Q3 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 30.41 16.95 11.61
9/30/16 sell 113-strike Oct 7 call 1.05 1.02
10/7/16 buy 113-strike Oct 7 call 1.07 -0.01
10/7/16 sell 114-strike Oct 14 call 1.02 0.96
10/14/16 buy 114-strike Oct 14 call 3.61 -0.01
10/14/16 sell 118-strike Oct 21 call 0.98 0.98
10/21/16 118-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/21/16 sell 115-strike Oct 28 call 3.35 1.86
10/28/16 115-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/28/16 sell 114-strike Nov 4 call 0.81 0.81

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 109.00. We let the 114-strike expire OTM and sold next week's 109-strike options to generate 1.98 of premium. We also got a 57 cent dividend on Nov 3.

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
11/3/16 dividend 0.57
11/4/16 114-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/4/16 sell 109-strike Nov 11 call 1.98 1.98

Here's the math we used to determine the 109-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 24%/year:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
Dec 31 goal for 24% return 127.19 102.57 * 1.24
actual income received -0.94 net call premium + paid divs
dividends yet to be paid 2016 0.00
assumed income received -0.94 net call premium + unpaid divs
current stock price 109.00 at the time we rolled
stock price + assumed income 108.06 109.00 - 0.94
income needed by Dec 31 19.13 127.19 - 108.06
weeks remaining 8 in 2016
income needed per week 2.39 19.13 / 8
2016 YTD return 5.4% (108.06 - 102.57) / 102.57

To stay on track for a 24% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 2.39 per week for the remaining 8 weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw the 109-strike was offering the highest time premium at 1.98 (below our goal but the best we can do right now).

ATM (at-the-money) - Apple Strategy #3

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 20.18 19.16 17.40
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 14.15 16.53 15.10
Q3 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 27.41 15.06 12.72
9/30/16 sell 113-strike Oct 7 call 1.05 1.02
10/7/16 buy 113-strike Oct 7 call 1.07 -0.01
10/7/16 sell 114-strike Oct 14 call 1.02 0.96
10/14/16 buy 114-strike Oct 14 call 3.61 -0.01
10/14/16 sell 118-strike Oct 21 call 0.98 0.98
10/21/16 118-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/21/16 sell 116-strike Oct 28 call 2.81 2.32
10/28/16 116-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/28/16 sell 114-strike Nov 4 call 0.81 0.81

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 109.00. We let the 114-strike expire OTM and sold next week's 109-strike options to generate 1.98 of premium. We also got a 57 cent dividend on Nov 3.

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
11/3/16 dividend 0.57
11/4/16 114-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/4/16 sell 109-strike Nov 11 call 1.98 1.98

At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
actual income received -8.43 net call premium + paid divs
current stock price 109.00 at the time we rolled
stock price + actual income 100.57 109.00 - 8.43
2016 YTD return -1.9% (100.57 - 102.57) / 102.57

This strategy is simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.

2% OTM (out-of-the-money) - Apple Strategy #4

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 8.74 8.67 8.00
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 6.42 6.72 6.12
Q3 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 14.97 5.16 4.55
9/30/16 sell 115-strike Oct 7 call 0.33 0.33
10/7/16 115-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/7/16 sell 116-strike Oct 14 call 0.32 0.32
10/14/16 buy 116-strike Oct 14 call 1.61 -0.01
10/14/16 sell 120-strike Oct 21 call 0.33 0.33
10/21/16 120-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/21/16 sell 119-strike Oct 28 call 1.48 1.48
10/28/16 119-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/28/16 sell 116-strike Nov 4 call 0.23 0.23

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 109.00. We let the 116-strike expire OTM and sold next week's 111-strike options to generate 1.01 of premium. We also got a 57 cent dividend on Nov 3.

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
11/3/16 dividend 0.57
11/4/16 116-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/4/16 sell 111-strike Nov 11 call 1.01 1.01

At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
actual income received -7.93 net call premium + paid divs
current stock price 109.00 at the time we rolled
stock price + actual income 101.07 109.00 - 7.93
2016 YTD return -1.5% (101.07 - 102.57) / 102.57

This strategy is also simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.

Buy and Hold (For Comparison)

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
2/4/16 dividend 0.52
5/5/16 dividend 0.57
8/4/16 dividend 0.57
11/3/16 dividend 0.57

This strategy's summary when AAPL was trading at 109.00 near the close Friday:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
actual income received 2.23 paid dividends
current stock price 109.00
stock price + actual income 111.23 109.00 + 2.23
2016 YTD return 8.4% (111.23 - 102.57) / 102.57

Mike Scanlin is the founder of Born To Sell and has been writing covered calls for a long time.

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