dividend increase 11, Apple Strategy Updated Nov 11, 2016

Apple closed at 108.43 on Friday, after having closed the previous week at 108.84. Three of our AAPL strategies had out-of-the-money options at expiration so we let them expire and sold new options for the Nov 18 expiration.

To review, we are tracking 4 covered call strategies on Apple for 2016 (we are also tracking a buy-and-hold strategy for comparison):

Strategy Name Source of Income YTD Return vs. B&H
12%/year goalITM weekly covered calls
+ dividends
6.3%-1.7%
24%/year goalITM/ATM weekly covered calls
+ dividends
6.8%-1.2%
ATMATM weekly covered calls
+ dividends
-0.5%-8.5%
2% OTM2% OTM weekly covered calls
+ dividends
-1.0%-8.9%
buy and holddividends 7.9%

In all cases our initial purchase of AAPL was done at $102.57 on Jan 4, 2016. See the goals for the year and initial option sales here. (definitions for ITM, ATM, and OTM)

12%/year goal - Apple Strategy #1

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 74.54 70.74 3.13
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 35.62 49.81 3.87
Q3 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 46.31 31.45 5.29
9/30/16 sell 112-strike Oct 7 call 1.64 0.61
10/7/16 buy 112-strike Oct 7 call 2.07 -0.01
10/7/16 sell 113-strike Oct 14 call 1.63 0.57
10/14/16 buy 113-strike Oct 14 call 4.61 -0.01
10/14/16 sell 116-strike Oct 21 call 2.16 0.56
10/21/16 buy 116-strike Oct 21 call 0.50 -0.01
10/21/16 sell 110-strike Oct 28 call 7.00 0.51
10/28/16 buy 110-strike Oct 28 call 3.74 -0.01
10/28/16 sell 113-strike Nov 4 call 1.36 0.63
11/3/16 dividend 0.57
11/4/16 113-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/4/16 sell 106-strike Nov 11 call 4.05 1.05

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 108.48. We bought back the 106-strike options and sold next week's 108-strike options to generate 1.14 of premium.

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
11/11/16 buy 106-strike Nov 11 call 2.49 -0.01
11/11/16 sell 108-strike Nov 18 call 1.62 1.14

Here's the math we used to determine the 108-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 12%/year:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
Dec 31 goal for 12% return 114.88 102.57 * 1.12
actual income received 0.53 net call premium + paid divs
dividends yet to be paid 2016 0.00
assumed income received 0.53 net call premium + unpaid divs
current stock price 108.48 at the time we rolled
stock price + assumed income 109.01 108.48 + 0.53
income needed by Dec 31 5.87 114.88 - 109.01
weeks remaining 7 in 2016
income needed per week 0.84 5.87 / 7
2016 YTD return 6.3% (109.01 - 102.57) / 102.57

With that, we knew that to get 12% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 84 cents per week for the 7 remaining weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw the deepest in-the-money option we could sell that provided at least 84 cents of time premium was the 108-strike.

24%/year goal - Apple Strategy #2

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 47.36 46.96 6.39
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 21.21 31.03 8.61
Q3 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 30.41 16.95 11.61
9/30/16 sell 113-strike Oct 7 call 1.05 1.02
10/7/16 buy 113-strike Oct 7 call 1.07 -0.01
10/7/16 sell 114-strike Oct 14 call 1.02 0.96
10/14/16 buy 114-strike Oct 14 call 3.61 -0.01
10/14/16 sell 118-strike Oct 21 call 0.98 0.98
10/21/16 118-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/21/16 sell 115-strike Oct 28 call 3.35 1.86
10/28/16 115-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/28/16 sell 114-strike Nov 4 call 0.81 0.81
11/3/16 dividend 0.57
11/4/16 114-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/4/16 sell 109-strike Nov 11 call 1.98 1.98

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 108.48. We let the 109-strike expire OTM and sold next week's 108-strike options to generate 1.14 of premium.

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
11/11/16 109-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/11/16 sell 108-strike Nov 18 call 1.62 1.14

Here's the math we used to determine the 108-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 24%/year:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
Dec 31 goal for 24% return 127.19 102.57 * 1.24
actual income received 1.04 net call premium + paid divs
dividends yet to be paid 2016 0.00
assumed income received 1.04 net call premium + unpaid divs
current stock price 108.48 at the time we rolled
stock price + assumed income 109.52 108.48 + 1.04
income needed by Dec 31 17.67 127.19 - 109.52
weeks remaining 7 in 2016
income needed per week 2.52 17.67 / 7
2016 YTD return 6.8% (109.52 - 102.57) / 102.57

To stay on track for a 24% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 2.52 per week for the remaining 7 weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw the 108-strike was offering the highest time premium at 1.14 (below our goal but the best we can do right now).

ATM (at-the-money) - Apple Strategy #3

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 20.18 19.16 17.40
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 14.15 16.53 15.10
Q3 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 27.41 15.06 12.72
9/30/16 sell 113-strike Oct 7 call 1.05 1.02
10/7/16 buy 113-strike Oct 7 call 1.07 -0.01
10/7/16 sell 114-strike Oct 14 call 1.02 0.96
10/14/16 buy 114-strike Oct 14 call 3.61 -0.01
10/14/16 sell 118-strike Oct 21 call 0.98 0.98
10/21/16 118-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/21/16 sell 116-strike Oct 28 call 2.81 2.32
10/28/16 116-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/28/16 sell 114-strike Nov 4 call 0.81 0.81
11/3/16 dividend 0.57
11/4/16 114-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/4/16 sell 109-strike Nov 11 call 1.98 1.98

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 108.48. We let the 109-strike expire OTM and sold next week's 108-strike options to generate 1.14 of premium.

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
11/11/16 109-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/11/16 sell 108-strike Nov 18 call 1.62 1.14

At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
actual income received -6.45 net call premium + paid divs
current stock price 108.48 at the time we rolled
stock price + actual income 102.03 108.48 - 6.45
2016 YTD return -0.5% (102.03 - 102.57) / 102.57

This strategy is simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.

2% OTM (out-of-the-money) - Apple Strategy #4

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 8.74 8.67 8.00
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 6.42 6.72 6.12
Q3 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 14.97 5.16 4.55
9/30/16 sell 115-strike Oct 7 call 0.33 0.33
10/7/16 115-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/7/16 sell 116-strike Oct 14 call 0.32 0.32
10/14/16 buy 116-strike Oct 14 call 1.61 -0.01
10/14/16 sell 120-strike Oct 21 call 0.33 0.33
10/21/16 120-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/21/16 sell 119-strike Oct 28 call 1.48 1.48
10/28/16 119-strike expired OTM 0.00
10/28/16 sell 116-strike Nov 4 call 0.23 0.23
11/3/16 dividend 0.57
11/4/16 116-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/4/16 sell 111-strike Nov 11 call 1.01 1.01

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 108.48. We let the 111-strike expire OTM and sold next week's 111-strike options to generate 41 cents of premium.

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
11/11/16 111-strike expired OTM 0.00
11/11/16 sell 111-strike Nov 18 call 0.41 0.41

At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
actual income received -6.92 net call premium + paid divs
current stock price 108.48 at the time we rolled
stock price + actual income 101.56 108.48 - 6.92
2016 YTD return -1.0% (101.56 - 102.57) / 102.57

This strategy is also simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.

Buy and Hold (For Comparison)

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
2/4/16 dividend 0.52
5/5/16 dividend 0.57
8/4/16 dividend 0.57
11/3/16 dividend 0.57

This strategy's summary when AAPL was trading at 108.48 near the close Friday:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
actual income received 2.23 paid dividends
current stock price 108.48
stock price + actual income 110.71 108.48 + 2.23
2016 YTD return 7.9% (110.71 - 102.57) / 102.57

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