dividend increase 8, Apple Strategy Updated Jul 8, 2016

Apple closed at 96.68 on Friday, after having closed the previous week at 95.92. Three of our AAPL strategies had in-the-money options near expiration so we bought them back and sold new options for the July 15th expiration next Friday.

To review, we are tracking 4 covered call strategies on Apple for 2016 (we are also tracking a buy-and-hold strategy for comparison):

Strategy Name Source of Income YTD Return vs. B&H
12%/year goalITM weekly covered calls
+ dividends
4.1%+8.8%
24%/year goalITM weekly covered calls
+ dividends
3.5%+8.2%
ATMATM weekly covered calls
+ dividends
-4.4%+0.4%
2% OTM2% OTM weekly covered calls
+ dividends
-5.5%-0.7%
buy and holddividends -4.7%

In all cases our initial purchase of AAPL was done at $102.57 on Jan 4, 2016. See the goals for the year and initial option sales here. (definitions for ITM, ATM, and OTM)

12%/year goal - Apple Strategy #1

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 74.54 70.74 3.13
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 35.62 49.81 3.87
7/1/16 sell 95-strike Jul 8 call 1.39 0.32

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 96.62. We bought back the 95-strike and sold next week's 95.50-strike options to generate 36 cents of premium:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
7/8/16 buy 95-strike Jul 8 call 1.63 -0.01
7/8/16 sell 95.50-strike Jul 15 call 1.48 0.36

Here's the math we used to determine the 95.50-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 12%/year:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
Dec 31 goal for 12% return 114.88 102.57 * 1.12
actual income received 10.15 net call premium + paid divs
dividends yet to be paid 2016 1.14 2 x 0.57
assumed income received 11.29 net call premium + unpaid divs
current stock price 96.62 at the time we rolled
stock price + assumed income 107.91 96.62 + 11.29
income needed by Dec 31 6.97 114.88 - 107.91
weeks remaining 25 in 2016
income needed per week 0.28 6.97 / 25
2016 YTD return 4.1% (107.91 - 1.14 - 102.57) / 102.57

With that, we knew that to get 12% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 28 cents per week for the 25 remaining weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw the deepest in-the-money option we could sell that provided at least 28 cents of time premium was the 95.50-strike.

24%/year goal - Apple Strategy #2

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 47.36 46.96 6.39
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 21.21 31.03 8.61
7/1/16 sell 96-strike Jul 8 call 0.74 0.67

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 96.62. We bought back the 96-strike and sold next week's 96.50-strike options to generate 71 cents of premium (which is below our goal of 80 cents/week but was the highest time premium option available at the time):

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
7/8/16 buy 96-strike Jul 8 call 0.63 -0.01
7/8/16 sell 96.50-strike Jul 15 call 0.83 0.71

Here's the math we used to determine the 96.50-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 24%/year:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
Dec 31 goal for 24% return 127.19 102.57 * 1.24
actual income received 9.53 net call premium + paid divs
dividends yet to be paid 2016 1.14 2 x 0.57
assumed income received 10.67 net call premium + unpaid divs
current stock price 96.62 at the time we rolled
stock price + assumed income 107.29 96.62 + 10.67
income needed by Dec 31 19.90 127.19 - 107.29
weeks remaining 25 in 2016
income needed per week 0.80 19.90 / 25
2016 YTD return 3.5% (107.29 - 1.14 - 102.57) / 102.57

To stay on track for a 24% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 80 cents per week for the remaining 25 weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw there were no options offering 80 cents for the coming week, so we chose the highest we could which was the ATM 96.50-strike with 71 cents of time premium.

ATM (at-the-money) - Apple Strategy #3

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 20.18 19.16 17.40
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 14.15 16.53 15.10
7/1/16 sell 96-strike Jul 8 call 0.74 0.67

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 96.07. We bought back the 93.50-strikes and sold next week's 96-strike options to generate 0.67 of premium:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
7/8/16 buy 96-stirke Jul 8 call 0.63 -0.01
7/8/16 sell 96.50-strike Jul 15 call 0.83 0.71

At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
actual income received 1.47 net call premium + paid divs
current stock price 96.62 at the time we rolled
stock price + actual income 98.09 96.62 + 1.47
2016 YTD return -4.4% (98.09 - 102.57) / 102.57

This strategy is simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.

2% OTM (out-of-the-money) - Apple Strategy #4

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
Q1 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 8.74 8.67 8.00
Q2 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 6.42 6.72 6.12
7/1/16 sell 98-strike Jul 8 call 0.11 0.11

A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 96.07. We bought back the 95.50-strikes and sold next week's 98-strike options to generate 11 cents of premium:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
7/8/16 98-strike expired OTM 0.00
7/8/16 sell 98.50-strike Jul 15 call 0.18 0.18

At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
actual income received 0.34 net call premium + paid divs
current stock price 96.62 at the time we rolled
stock price + actual income 96.96 96.62 + 0.34
2016 YTD return -5.5% (96.96 - 102.57) / 102.57

This strategy is also simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.

Buy and Hold (For Comparison)

Prior actions:

Date Action $ out $ in Time Premium
1/4/16 buy 100 shares AAPL 102.57
2/4/16 dividend 0.52
5/5/16 dividend 0.57

This strategy's summary when AAPL was trading at 93.68 near the close Friday:

Item Value Notes
starting capital 102.57 Initial cost of shares
actual income received 1.09 paid dividends
current stock price 96.07
stock price + actual income 97.16 96.07 + 1.09
2016 YTD return -5.3% (97.16 - 102.57) / 102.57

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